Psychosis Risk
Study register · detail Prospektive Kohortenstudie · Psychosis Risk · 2014

Cannabis use and transition to psychosis in people at ultra-high risk.

Mixed GRADE Low 99 citations
Samplen = 182 Pat.
Duration2 years
ControlNo cannabis use
EndpointTransition to psychosis
Blindingn.a.
DesignProspektive Kohortenstudie
Key finding

Lifetime cannabis use did not generally increase transition risk, however early onset and frequent use significantly increased the risk.

Summary

n=182 ultra-high-risk (UHR) persons for psychosis, 2-year follow-up. Early cannabis onset (<15 years) and frequent use: transition to psychosis 25% vs. 5% with less frequent/later use (χ²=10,971, p=0,001). In the overall sample no significant increase in risk from lifetime use (12,7% vs. 18,8%, p=0,303); risk signal concentrated on early intensive use.

P
PopulationPersons with Ultra-High-Risk (UHR) for psychosis, n=182 (104 male, 78 female)
I
InterventionCannabis use (lifetime and continued use), prospectively assessed
C
ControlNo cannabis use
O
OutcomeNo significant difference in transition rate to psychosis between cannabis users and never-users (12,7% vs. 18,8%; p=0,303); however increased transition rate with early onset (<15 years) and frequent use (25% vs. 5%; p=0,001)
Confidence in the evidence
Low

The second of four GRADE levels, the effect estimate is of limited reliability.

Quality profile
Sample size
Blinding
Effect size Mixed
Citations / year
Authors
Valmaggia LR, Day FL, Jones C, Bissoli S, Pugh C, Hall D, Bhattacharyya S, Howes O, Stone J, Fusar-Poli P, Byrne M, McGuire PK.
DOI 10.1017/s0033291714000117
Design: Prospektive Kohortenstudie
Share
Abstract
<h4>Background</h4>Cannabis use is associated with an increased risk of developing a psychotic disorder but the temporal relationship between cannabis use and onset of illness is unclear. The objective of this study was to assess prospectively the influence of cannabis use on transition to psychosis in people at ultra-high risk (UHR) for the disorder.<h4>Method</h4>Lifetime and continued cannabis use was assessed in a consecutively ascertained sample of 182 people (104 male, 78 female) at UHR for psychosis. Individuals were then followed clinically for 2 years to determine their clinical outcomes.<h4>Results</h4>Lifetime cannabis use was reported by 134 individuals (73.6%). However, most of these individuals had stopped using cannabis before clinical presentation (n=98, 73.1%), usually because of adverse effects. Among lifetime users, frequent use, early-onset use and continued use after presentation were all associated with an increase in transition to psychosis. Transition to psychosis was highest among those who started using cannabis before the age of 15 years and went on to use frequently (frequent early-onset use: 25%; infrequent or late-onset use: 5%; χ(2)1=10.971, p=0.001). However, within the whole sample, cannabis users were no more likely to develop psychosis than those who had never used cannabis (cannabis use: 12.7%; no use: 18.8%; χ(2)1=1.061, p=0.303).<h4>Conclusions</h4>In people at UHR for psychosis, lifetime cannabis use was common but not related to outcome. Among cannabis users, frequent use, early-onset use and continued use after clinical presentation were associated with transition to psychosis.

The impediment to action advances action. — Marcus Aurelius