Adolescence & Development
Study register · detail Prospektive Kohortenstudie (35 Jahre Follow-up) · Adolescence & Development · 2012

Cannabis, schizophrenia and other non-affective psychoses: 35 years of follow-up of a population-based cohort.

Harm GRADE Low 147 citations
Samplen = 50.087 Pat.
Duration35 years follow-up
ControlNon-users
EndpointIncidence of psychotic…
Blindingn.a.
DesignProspektive Kohortenstudie (35 Jahre Follow-up)
Key finding

Frequent cannabis use in adolescence increases the long-term risk of schizophrenia approximately 3,7-fold compared to non-users.

Summary

Adolescent cannabis use (n=50.087 recruits) as a risk factor for later schizophrenia: OR=3,7 (95%-CI 2,3–5,8) with frequent use; 35-year follow-up shows persistently increased risk in heavy users, decline in risk with moderate use over the decades.

P
PopulationSwedish conscripts (male) with data on cannabis use in adolescence, n=50.087
I
InterventionCannabis use in adolescence (frequent vs. moderate vs. no use)
C
ControlNon-users
O
OutcomeOR for schizophrenia with frequent cannabis use 3,7 (95%-CI 2,3–5,8); OR for brief psychosis 2,2 (95%-CI 1,0–4,7); OR for other non-affective psychoses 2,0 (95%-CI 0,8–4,7)
Confidence in the evidence
Low

The second of four GRADE levels, the effect estimate is of limited reliability.

Quality profile
Sample size
Blinding
Effect size Harm
Citations / year
Authors
Manrique-Garcia E, Zammit S, Dalman C, Hemmingsson T, Andreasson S, Allebeck P.
DOI 10.1017/s0033291711002078
Design: Prospektive Kohortenstudie (35 Jahre Follow-up)
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Abstract
<h4>Background</h4>There is now strong evidence that cannabis use increases the risk of psychoses including schizophrenia, but the relationship between cannabis and different psychotic disorders, as well as the mechanisms, are poorly known. We aimed to assess types of psychotic outcomes after use of cannabis in adolescence and variation in risk over time.<h4>Method</h4>A cohort of 50 087 military conscripts with data on cannabis use in late adolescence was followed up during 35 years with regard to in-patient care for psychotic diagnoses.<h4>Results</h4>Odds ratios for psychotic outcomes among frequent cannabis users compared with non-users were 3.7 [95% confidence interval (CI) 2.3-5.8] for schizophrenia, 2.2 (95% CI 1.0-4.7) for brief psychosis and 2.0 (95% CI 0.8-4.7) for other non-affective psychoses. Risk of schizophrenia declined over the decades in moderate users but much less so in frequent users. The presence of a brief psychosis did not increase risk of later schizophrenia more in cannabis users compared with non-users.<h4>Conclusions</h4>Our results confirm an increased risk of schizophrenia in a long-term perspective, although the risk declined over time in moderate users.

The impediment to action advances action. — Marcus Aurelius